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The Parting Glass Racing Newsletter: Horse Racing Partnership News & Updates



Here. We. GO!

The 147th Running of The Belmont Stakes:

Okay Race fans its almost here. We are 2 days out from the big one. The 147th running of The Belmont Stakes!  Will we see the first Triple Crown winner in 37 years? Can American Pharoah do it on Saturday at approx. 6:50pm?
Lets go over a few things. This is a race contested 1 1/2 miles on the dirt. The Derby was 1 1/4 and Preakness 1 3/16. Who has gas left in the tank to carry the extra distance? Pace (how fast they go early) of the race will probably dictate this. The weather could have a big effect on the who wins this race. Only a slight chance of rain is predicted starting Thursday(20%) Friday(30%) and Saturday(30%). So track condition will need to be watched closely along with any track bias (favoring speed or closer's) there may be.

As in the Preakness there is another popular myth concerning this race, though it is the opposite. The myth being that closer's win the Belmont more often than speed horse's. Lets take a look at the last 24 running's of the Belmont. In the Preakness we used the 3/4 pole to judge the winner's position, lets use the 1 mile marker to judge the past Belmont's seeing how they are racing the grueling 1 1/2 miles.  Only 3 winner's had the lead at the mile marker. 5 were second, 7 were third, 4 were fourth and 3 were fifth. That adds up to 22 of the last 24 were 5th or closer at the mile marker. So as with the Preakness the Belmont is not won by deep closer's it is won by stalkers. Another interesting fact is that 12 of the last 24 winner's have came from the Preakness. 8 Derby runner's skipped the Preakness and then won the Belmont. Another interesting fact concerning past winner's is that a lot of them had approx. 130+ day's break from racing the Winter before winning the Belmont.  Below I have attached a link that shows the Past Performances for all the 2015 Belmont Stakes starters. I have also attached the final race charts for the Derby and Preakness.

Lets take a look at what I said about American Pharoah leading into the Derby and Preakness.

The Derby:
A#18, American Pharoah, Morning Line odds of 5-2, Trainer Baffert, Jockey Espinoza, comes in off a 4 win race streak, the last 3 at odds of 1-9,2-5,and 1-2, I mention these odds because if you are fan of him the Derby is the race to put your money down, don't wait to see how he does with a plan to play him in the Preakness because if he gets the job done here from the #18 post you are looking at 2-5 max. next time out, we might get around that morning line 5-2 in the Derby, speaking of that #18 post only 1 Derby winner has ever got it done from there and it was back in 1982, does anyone remember who that was? I sure do because it was my one and only Derby ever attended, I was 19 at the time and I joined over 90,000 in the infield at Churchill to watch Gato Del Sol with Eddie Delahoussaye up come from last to get the win. Now for some reasons why American Pharoah is my top selection. Very visually impressive in prep races for this, rated very high as a 2 year old, trainer/jockey both know how to get it done here, had 160 day break from racing from 2 to 3(this is strong angle for past Derby winners many having a break from racing of a min. 75 days), another strong angle is racing at 2 and he had 3 starts in 2014 so he fits nicely there, another angle is that Derby winners need to have a speed fig. over 100 from past 2 year old races and he has 1 of those, only other starter to have that min. 100 speed fig. at 2 is #19.

The Preakness:A#1 American Pharoah, M/L 4-5, Baffert/Espinoza, comes in off impressive Derby score where he raced wide for the entire 1 1/4 miles, 3-5 could be the high end of his odds here and could blow their doors off if able to bounce back from just 2 weeks off, drew the dreaded 1 post, only 1 horse has won the Preakness from the 1 post in the last 45 running's, gas tank was tested in Derby so I'm shying away as my top selection plus the price/value is cut drastically. If mother nature should drop enough moisture and the track is obviously affected, American Pharoah should like it all the more, but odds will be short for sure. 3-5.

Now lets look at what I think are the top contenders for the 147th. Belmont Stakes!

Selections by the Snake

A#5, American Pharoah PP5 / ML 3-5. Baffert/Espinoza. Trainer Baffert who is 0-3 (Silver Charm,Real Quiet,War Emblem) and Jockey Espinoza who is 0-2 (War Emblem,California Chrome) in Triple Crown tries come in here with a huge chance to be the first in 37 years since Affirmed to take all 3 in 1978. Espinoza was all over his charge in the Derby using his whip a reported 32 times and racing wide the entire 1 1/4 miles. Then in the Preakness mother nature came rolling in approx. 15 mins. before the race and delivered a monsoon type drenching which American Pharoah just loved trouncing the field with ease(no whip used). With all the print about the Triple Crown this year one thing I don't hear much about is how weak this bunch really is this year excluding American Pharoah. The problem as a horse player is can we get some value playing him? Thats the tricky part. In the Preakness it was readily apparent to me that Firing Line was being over bet with 15 mins. to post he was listed at 5-2, way below the 4-1 we were looking for the play, on the other hand American Pharoah was at a very generous 1-1 even money, you say how can even money be generous? Well we predicted he would be like 2-5, so at 1-1 thats twice the odds we thought he should have been. He did drop to 4-5 at post but paid the top end of 4-5 at $3.80 Thats why when playing win wagers it can pay to wait until right before post to make your play, modern electronics makes this possible. 37 year curse is broken on Saturday as American Pharoah finally does it at 2-5!            Updated/Current odds as of noon Friday 3-5

B#6, Frosted PP6 / ML 5-1. McLaughlin/Rosario. Ran 4th. in the Derby, was one of a only a few who closed ground in the Derby, many were leg weary in there so this effort could be hard to gauge, skipped the Preakness, comes in here off a similar path as the 2014 Belmont winner Tonalist. Comes from hot sire Tapit who's been siring all kinds of distance winners. Running style looks to be a positive in here. Negatives for me are the no break from racing from 2-3 and sub par speed figs when raced at 2. 4-1 or higher for me.                                                    Updated/Current odds 6-1

B#8, Materiality PP8 / ML 6-1. Pletcher/J.Velazquez. 6th. off a brutal trip in the Derby, was undefeated until the Derby at 3-3, can't get so far back as in Derby as this race is normally won by horses who are in the top 5 at the mile marker, another who skipped the Preakness aiming for this. Pletcher has 2 going in here and they could gang up on the favorite, wouldn't be the first big favorite going for the crown that had to deal with that big target that will be on his back. Negatives are did not race at 2. 5-1 or higher is my comfort zone.                                              Updated/Current odds 6-1

C#3, Madefromlucky PP3 / ML 12-1. Pletcher/Castellano. Second of the 2 Pletcher runners in here. Comes in after skipping the first 2 legs of the triple crown. Last seen scoring in the Peter Pan right here at Belmont on May 9th. Before that got a good look at American Pharoahs tail in the Arkansas Derby and Rebel Stakes. Had a nice 130 day break from racing from 2-3 and is really on the improve as of late. Could sit the perfect mid pack trip and juice up the number at double digit odds. We want 15-1 or higher.                                                                    Updated/Current odds 14-1

C#1, Mubtaahij PP1 / ML 15-1. de Kock/I.Ortiz. Skipped the Preakness after a ho hum 8th. in the Derby at 14-1. Has the right running style to be in good position for this. Had the all important break from racing of 85 days. European jockey does bail for this as he gets up and comer NY based jock. Irad Ortiz Jr. in here. 15-1 or larger make him a must use in the number.
                                                                                        Updated/Current odds 14-1

So as you can see by my odds American Pharoah in my opinion lays over this field. I think we are going to finally see a Triple Crown Winner. He is my top selection,  Frosted and Materiality have best chance for the upset. Madefromlucky and Mubtaahij have the best chance of juicing up the Exacta, Trifecta, and Superfecta. My play looks like this, Exacta's American Pharoah over the top of Mubtaahij and Madefromlucky. 5 / 1,3

Special thanks goes out to all who came out Thurs. night at the Parting Glass for the Belmont Handicappers Show. Audience participation was great and having a full house for the event was super.
I hope you all have enjoyed the 2015 Triple Crown write ups and the Selections by the Snake!



The Breeders' Cup:

Selections by the Snake.

Well the fireworks from Fiday's Breeder's Cup continued on Saturday but in another form. As Tom Gallo likes to say " we was robbed". After not selecting a winner all day on top we came to the Classic. Bayern was allowed to take a left hand turn leaving the gate area and mug 3 horses in doing so. Bayern finished first in a close photo with Toast of New York & California Chrome. Immediately after the race the Inquiry sign went up. Watching the video of the infraction its clear that Bayern would be Disquailified and our Toast of New York at 18-1 would be moved up for a huge score. But after a prolonged look at it, the judges let it stand. Say what??? Oh my, didn't they see what the whole world was seeing? I still can't believe it. Anyway on the day there was still good money to be made following my selections. In the 9th. race, the Superfecta Box was selected at a healthy $1,658. 3 tops did run second at odds of 9-5,9-2,& the afore mentioned 18-1. 1 place selection won and 2 show selections won at 7-1&6-1. Toast of New York ran his eye balls out and gave us a big thrill at very nice odds. This will sting for awhile.

Selections by the Snake.


Thanks to everybody who came out for the show last night at the Parting Glass. Crowd participation was great. Here are the Selections for the Friday Breeders Cup Races:

Friday, October 31, 2014 - HAPPY HALLOWEEN!

6.)          Juvenile Turf               5-7-14-11-2

7.)          Dirt Mile                      1-9-8-6-10

8.)          Juvenile Fillies Turf     4-3-12-2-14-9

Turf Value looks to be in here with #4 Lady Eli at 6-1. #12 Tammy the Torpedo at 12-1    and #9 Lady Zuzu at 15-1. Get 2 of 3 in the number and you are sure to be paid. Hopefully this will lead to bullets you can fire on Saturday!

9.)         Distaff                         10-3-11-7-9-6

Saturday, November 1st:

4.)         Juvenile Fillies                       4-11-2-5-1

5.)         Filly & Mare Turf                    3-5-2-10

6.)         Filly & Mare Sprint                 9-7-5-1

Dirt Value #9 Living The Life at 12-1. Goes Turf to Dirt for Trainer Mandella, Jock. M.Smith opts for the favorite but we pick up Bejarano for this. Odds should be attractive enough. 7 Furlongs falls right into her wheel house. 10-1 or higher she's all ours.

7.)         Turf Sprint                             1-2-6-11-15

8.)         Juvenile                                 9-12-1-13-4

9.)         Turf                                        1-7-12-2-9

10.)       Sprint                                     4-8-6-5-10

11.)       Mile                                        5-6-4-2-9

Turf Value #6 Tom's Tribute at 15-1. Never better for Trainer Cassidy. Jockey Smith gets a leg up for runner coming off over 2 month vacation. Looks dangerous at a price which could spice up the number at any placing.

12.)      Classic                                   9-8-12-6-11

Selections by the Snake.


We closed out the Meet with a 4 Bagger on Monday giving us 112 winners selected on top for Toga 2014, these winners totaled $762.90  The most interesting race of the day wasn't one of our wins though. It was the second race where our value play appeared. Sweet Sweet Afleet was well on her way to an easy win and the winner's circle after cruising by the leader turning for home when she must have remembered the rumors she had heard back in the barns earlier that morning that Tom Durkin would be trackside saying his goodbyes by "kissing hands and shaking babies". She didn't want to miss this so she took a right turn and headed for the grandstands. By the time the Jockey awoke from his Saratoga coma she had veered out to the 12 path, yes I said 12 path, the jockey now in panic mode got her straightened out and rerallied to save second place. I learned a long time ago if you hang around this game long enough you will see it all before you are done. Monday will not be soon forgotten. But guess what, all was not lost, our other 3 selections for the race along with Sweet Sweet Afleet all finished 1,2 3,4 with the Exacta Box coming back $91.50, the Trifecta Box $284.50, and the Superfecta Box a whopping $3,027. Rick A., Albie S., Adam Z., & Kurt D. all scored by boxing their wagers, nice job guys and thanks for sharing those stories. On the day 2 tops ran second, 2 place selections won, 1 Exacta was hit, along with 1 Daily Double, 2 Exacta Boxes & the previously mentioned Superfecta Box at $3,027.  Final Saratoga report coming later this week. I hope you have enjoyed the 2014 Toga Selections by the Snake!


Sunday was a grand slam for us as we selected 4 winner's on top. The best being a $11. horse in the 4th. race. We also had the winner in Tom Durkins last race call of his career the 10th. when our runner came back at $8.70 The Trifecta Box was also selected in that race at a okay $118. 2 top selections did run second and at both times to the favorites. 1 of those exactas came back at $37.40 Mother Nature threw us a curve ball late in the card with the 11th. race coming off the turf. Our place selection for the off ran third at 12-1 keying the trifecta at $304. Today is it for Toga 2014. As of right now Turf Racing is still on. Wagering on a drying out / tiring track can be very tricky. Thanks for following me this season and keep those comments and questions coming. Don't forget to share your story with me when you have a score. Lets see if we can get a few more winners today before the lights are turned out at the Spa.


Now for the Monday Selections by the Snake.


1.) 6-1A-3-9 Turf


2.) 4-1-7-2  Dirt Value Play # 4 Sweet Sweet Afleet at 20-1. Debuts for Flakes Trainer Ferraro who brings Jock D.Lopez with him. Been working steady at the Lakes for this and love that we have some moisture in the track for this one as his grand mother is Honor and Glory who has been known to throw a mudder or two. M / L 20-1 is just so tempting we have to lean this way. Bombs away hopefully!


3.) 5-7-8-9 Turf


4.) 6-5-4-3


5.) 1,1A-3-9-8


6.) 4-6-9-11 Turf


7.) 1-8-4-10


8.) 10-9-8-3


9.) 1-5-4-10 Turf


10.) 10-2-4-8


Selections by the Snake.


Saturday will be known for another word that begins with the letter S. No its not a four letter word, but I would not blame anybody for having maybe shouted that word once or twice on Saturday as horses crossed the finish line. I will not use this other word again referring to Toga 2014 but the dreaded SECONDITUS reared its ugly head for us once again as 5 Top Selections ran second, the best an 8-1 shot in the 6th. losing by a shortening neck and 4 Place Selections won. On the day 2 tops won. As would be expected boxing exactas on Saturday was the profit maker on the day with the best being the $46.20 in the 6th. Our value play in the 3rd. race looked like he was on a training run, so maybe following up on will produce a sweet payoff??? Main track on Saturday was all about speed as only 1 horse came from behind to win. Turf speed did not fare as well from Friday to Saturday, riders who have saving ground on the turf having been doing the best. Today is the swan song for track announcer Tom Durkin. Mother Nature is lurking in the shadows today so stay tuned for updates if the rains come.


Now for the Sunday Selections by the Snake.



1.) 11-2-1-9-6 Turf  Dirt 3-12-1


2.) 5-4-2-1


3.) 1-3-5-2


4.) 2-7-8-1 Turf  Dirt 1-16-10


5.) 4-8-1-9 Turf  Dirt 15-8-14-16


6.) 2-7-3-10 Turf  Dirt 1-2-7-3-10


7.) 8-10-1-6


8.) 5-4-11-2 Turf   Dirt 15-13-16-6  Turf Only Value Play # 5 Sycamore Lane at 4-1. Fires fresh from a 10 month layoff for Mott / Ortiz Jr. Been working steady at Churchill for this turf mile distance. They shipped in late for this start so it looks like all systems are on go for this son of Artie Schiller. 3-1 or better he's ours.


9.) 6-4-10-8 Dirt Value Play # 6 Mar de Mares at 6-1. Is undefeated in all five starts but did get DQed in last start at Parx. Before that 4-4 in Mexico. Have to believe this is a runner for Trainer Jo. Servis and attracts J. Lezcano for the ride. Breeding says wet or dry. Looks to fit very nicely with these and price should be square. 4-1 or better will be our comfort zone.


10.) 1-2-7-4


11.) 8-11-1-7 Turf  Dirt 3-2-1


12.) 10-5-7-11-12


Selections by the Snake.


Saturday (8/30) - Day 38 - Early Selections by the Snake. Those of you who follow me on the PGR web site and want to be added to my EBLAST List so as to receive the most current racing info including updated scratches, surface changes, and all daily racing reports should email me at

Now for the Saturday Early Selections before scratches and surface changes.

1.) 8-7-3-9-11 Turf

2.) 8-4-6-1

3.) 11-5-3-1A Turf Value Play # 11 Morpheus at 15-1. Mott / Rosario team up here to send out this Great Britain Bred. Needs to improve to take down the big favorite in here and if he does we will get paid. Looks to be a little bit of head case and will need all of Rosario's skills who I think is only second to Castellano as a Jockey. Been freshened since last seen June 29th at Belmont and working lites out, could be different animal this time and the first time is the time to get paid even if just in the money at large odds.

4.) 7-3-5-2

5.) 4-10-1,1A-9 Turf

6.) 1,1A-10-9-4

7.) 3-5-2-9 Turf

8.) 6-5-2-1

9.) 8-1-9-3 Turf

10.) 8-6-10-4

11.) 4-2-6-7

12.) 7-1-12-8 Turf

Selections by the Snake.


Thursday proved to be another stumper of a day for us as seconditus was felt with 4 tops running second and 3 place selections running second. Still there were places to score if wagered on correctly. Trifecta Box was selected in the 1st. race for small money. Superfecta Box in the third race came back a generous $312. 1 more Super Box was selected in the 6th with Dawn C. cashing a nice ticket. Our value play in the 2nd. should be showing up soon at the Flakes as he was awful. at 9-1. Today our friends at PGR have one going in the 2nd. race # 3 Kid Blast at 4-1. Speaking of PGR, those of you who follow me on their web site and want to be added to my EBLAST List so as to receive the most current racing info including updated scratches, surface changes, and all daily racing reports should email me at


Now for the Friday Selections (8/29) by the Snake.


1.) 4-3-6-2


2.) 5-8-10-3 Turf


3.) 1-8-4-2 Turf


4.) 1-1,1A-3-7


5.) 4-9-3-7 Turf


6.) 2-4-6-7 Turf


7.) 4-7-3-1


8.) 3-8-7-9 Turf Value Play # 3 Thatza Wrap at 8-1. Last seen June 21 racing against track bias at Belmont. Been here for the entire meet working steadily for this. Trainer Kimmel been fairly quiet going 2-24, legs up J.Alvarado for this for local owners the Bromans of Chestertown fame. 2 favorites look suspect in here especially the second choice who is 1-23 which may add value to our play. 5-1 or better looks right. 


9.) 8-5-7-4-11 Dirt Value Play # 8 My Super Nova at 3-1. Trainer Weaver & Jock. Rosario team up with this first timer who put a bullet work in to her holster on Aug.11th. going 47.2 out of the gate being the fastest of 59 working that distance that day. Owned by R.A Hill Stable who were reported to have visited Spa Fine Art while in Toga. Pletcher has the M/L 2-1 favorite so hopefully our selection will not take the bulk of the wagering. Lets look for that 3-1 area for our play.


10.) 5-2-3-8 Turf


11.) 6-8-9-2 Turf


Selections by the Snake.


Wednesday theme was the 100 mark, as we hit 100 wins for the meet. Lots of places to make some cabbage on Wednesday. 3 winner's were selected on top with the 4th race Exacta and Trifecta also being selected. The best payoffs from selections was in the 5th. as our show selection scored the win with our place selection running second at 18-1 and 4th. choice running third, boxing our top 4 in a trifecta would return a nice $1,100. payoff. Boxing the exacta with our top 3 would return a cool $264. Next up was our value play who's odds were way to low for the play so money should have been saved there. Another money maker appeared in the 7th. race when our place selection ran third at 23-1 keying a trifecta at $654. and a superfecta at $1,377. Next up was our top selection in the 9th. who scored at a low 6-5 but if bet him on top of our place and show selections in the exacta you would have cashed for $52. 4 tops also ran second and 2 place selections won. 3 place selections did run second. Last jump race of the meet today, first post is 12:25 for the jumpers.


Now for the Thursday Selections (8/28) by the Snake.


1.) 2-1-5 Jumpers


2.) 2-4-8-5 Dirt Value Play # 2 Peanutsnpopcorn at 10-1. Like when I see young horse show a little speed early in career as this horse did last time out, also attempted a wide move late in race = 2 moves for me. Some horses only have 1 in their arsenal. 3 steady works since last start for Trainer Zito, rider Lezcano sticks for the ride. Price looks to be square right around the 10-1 area.


3.) 8-2-4-5 Turf


4.) 2-1-3-5


5.) 9-8-6-1 Turf


6.) 3-2-1-4


7.) 8-9-5-1 Turf Vale Play # 8 Moondance Joy at 5-1. Second start for this gal and they stretch her out for this going from 5 1/2 to 1 1/16 on the weeds. Trainer Albertrani been known to have them cranked up more for second starts of career. Another for rider Lezcano who needs to have a good day for our value plays. Comfort zone for us will be 4-1 or better.


8.) 9-7-1-3 Turf


9.) 3-8-1-4 Turf


10.) 7-4-1-8


Selections by the Snake.


Monday was that day we dread as it played out it looked like I had read the entries from an upside down position. Humble Pie was served, after having a hot weekend I went 0-10 on Monday, the first goose egg of the meet. The funny thing about playing horses is that there was still money to be made playing my selections believe it or not and it happened early in the card before I really went sour. Boxing the selections from race 2 in a Superfecta Box would have returned you a cool $590. Then in race 6 boxing the four selections in a Trifecta you would have cashed for $200. just like Sr. did. The moral of this is that this game is about picking your spots and wagering correctly. Case in point, when I give out value plays I'm thinking and hoping for certain factors plus the all important correct odds for the play. On Monday I gave out a value horse in the 9th race and we wanted 4-1 or better, the odds opened up at approx. 7-5 and drifted to 2-1 at post time making this a no bet. 1 more lesson from this race concerns the term " jockey wrapped up on". Watch the replay which are available on focusing on the # 9 and watch what the Jock. does in the stretch when he knows he has no chance of having a good finish, he wraps up on saving the horse for another day. 3 place selections did win on Monday. Today's first race is for jumpers and post time will be 12:25pm.

Now for the Wednesday Selections (8/27) by the Snake.


1.) 3-6-8-1 Jumpers


2.) 5-2-3


3.) 2-5-1-6 Turf


4.) 1-3-2-6


5.) 2-3-1-6 Turf


6.) 7-5-2-1 Dirt Value Play # 7 Cosmic Tale at 10-1. Trainer C. Baker debuts this one for himself as owner, legs up Jock. Luzzi who has local connections. Field is full of first timers so we should get some good odds as there are a lot of unknowns. Trainer is cold as an iceberg so far at the meet riding the duck, has been working this one at the Flakes and ships in for this off some steady works. 10-1 or better should be our comfort zone. Any where in the money smells like value. You know what to do.


7.) 6-5-4-7 Turf


8.) 6-2B-4-7 Turf


9.) 10-6-2-1 Turf


10.) 9-5-1-6 Turf


Selections by the Snake.


Sunday started off with a couple of BANGS!!! 1st. and sec. races were nailed from top to bottom. Ron B. turned a $6. investment in the first into a cool $150. Great way to start a day at the races and he continued to follow the Snake and nailed the second race also. First 2 produced 2 Exacta's, 2 Trifecta's, 1 Daily Double, and 1 Superfecta. We cooled our heels after the early success selecting 1 more winner making 3  for the day as we approach that 100 mark(currently at 97) for the season. 1 more exacta was also selected along with 1 Trifecta box which Ray Sr. scored on. 3 tops did run second and 4 place selections did indeed run second. We got the odds we wanted on our Turf Value Play but not the run when it counted finishing 4th at 5-1.


Now for the Monday Selections (8/25) by the Snake.


1.) 2,2B-7-3 Jumpers


2.) 6-2-7-4


3.) 2-7-4 Turf


4.) 3-9-4-8


5.) 11-6-1-5 Turf


6.) 2-4-6-1A


7.) 8-5-6-9


8.) 10-2-11-7 Turf


9.) 9-8-2-12 Turf Value Play # 9 Stars Above Me at 6-1. Love the way this horse won last time out showing some serious run in the stretch. Second race in the states today and slight improvement makes her very dangerous. Rider I. Ortiz sticks for Trainer Motion and should sit a good trip from mid-pack and roll in the lane. Others look to take the bulk of the wagering in here but 6-1 looks a little large for us but we can hope, 4-1 or better send it in.


10.) 2-10-5-1 Turf


Selections by the Snake.

Saturday's theme was family wedding. Who gets married on Travers Day anyway? Well fittingly enough a guy named Travis, you can't make this up. He put a ring on my youngest niece's finger and we got one for the thumb on Saturday as 5 winner's were selected highlighted by the Turf Value Play in the 8th. race scoring at $13.40 We turned it into a 18-1 shot when we had the previous race and Daily Double came back $38. with a 3-2 lead in. We also hit the 9th. producing another double this time at $81. and the Pick3 at $268.We continued on a roll hitting the 10th. producing another double and pick3 at $396.SCORE! We finished the day hitting the finale at $8.80 sending Linda C. home with some extra sheckles in her pocket(thanks for the kind words Linda). 4 Tops also ran second on Saturday and 2 place selections won. As the 2014 Toga Meet winds down I want to thank everybody for all support and the sharing of the stories when you have scored using The Snake's Selections plus the kind words. Keep them coming. Speaking of sharing I would like to share a pic. from the festivities yesterday showing my two biggest wins of my life, my two daughters.

Now for the Sunday Selections (8/24) by the Snake.


1.) 3-8-2-4


2.) 2-5-4


3.) 10-8-11-5 Turf


4.) 6-4-1 Turf


5.) 2-3-5-6


6.) 6-9-4-2 Turf


7.) 4-5-3-1 Turf


8.) 4-3-2-5


9.) 15-3-1-11 Turf Value Play # 15 Aesthetique at 7-2. Draws in off the also eligible list for Trainer Ribaudo who is a sneaky good turf trainer. Master turf rider in J. Lezcano has the mount. Third start off the layoff for this and was bet down to even money last start finishing third. Speaking of that last start she raced against the track bias that day. Could draw some added value by being over looked drawing in from the far outside for this. 7-2 looks like a dream. 5-2 or better is our zone, watch the board.


10.) 6-2-4-5 


11.) 11-12-8-2 Turf


Selections by the Snake.


Here are the Travers Day 2014 early Selections by the Snake before Scratches & Surface Changes. Also check out this link for a Video History of the Travers Stakes!


1.) 7-5-8-6


2.) 9-5-2-4 Turf  1,1A-9-5-2 Dirt


3.) 10-1-3-6 Turf     7-6-3-9 Dirt


4.) 2-6-1-9


5.) 5-1-2-9 Turf     6-9-5-1 Dirt  


6.) 6-2-8-4 Turf    1,1A-2-6-8 Dirt


7.) 10-3-4-1


8.) 7-4-2-6 Turf    1,1A-2-8-5 Dirt      Turf Value Play # 7 Shining Copper at 10-1. Fresh off a victory right here on Aug.3. at 6-5. Claimed that day and moves up a notch for this. Some girl power as Jockey Rosie Napravnik gets a boot up from Trainer Asmussen. We should get over looked in here and get a square price. Horse has never been better and one more slight improvement puts us right in the number. 6-1 or better should be our comfort level, watch the board.


9.) 3-5-7-2 Turf


10.) 7-8-2-6


11.) 4-2-1-5


12.) 2-6-7-10


13.) 5-4-3-6 Turf     6-3-2-5 Dirt


14.) 5-6-3-2 Turf     6-10-5-11 Dirt


Selections by the Snake.

Thursday was a muddy mess at the Spa after all that rain. 2 winner's from Top Selections did score. Main theme of the day was that awful word "Seconditus" as 5 tops ran second, arrrrrrrrrrrrrrr. 1 Trifecta Box & 2 Superfecta Boxes were selected. Track Bias was a tricky thing on Thursday as the first 4 races were won by horses who stalked or closed for the win. The last 5 races of the day were all front end speed winner's. More rain over night has caused Turf racing to be moved to the main track again today. Lets see if we can select a few winner's today so players will have bullets to fire on Saturday, Travers Day. Speaking of the Travers as if we need to get our blood flowing a little check out this video history of the race.


Now for the Friday Selections (8/22) by the Snake.


1.) 3-5-2


2.) 3-8-2-5


3.) 6-1-2-3


4.) 1.1A-7-3-6


5.) 4-2-3-5


6.) 10-1-6-11 Off Turf


7.) 1-3-9-11


8.) 3-5-4-6 Dirt Value Play # 3 Tequila Hero at 30-1. Bombs away for us as we take this Finger Lakes shipper for Trainer Lecesse. Once again when playing bombers like this we don't need to win to make some serious cash, anywhere in the number and this horse keys the payoff's. Has a low mud number which actually helps the odds. Grandfather is the horse Fusaichi Pegasus who I believe had a little something to do with a Belmont Stakes winner (Ruler On Ice) in the mud. I was a witness to that win thanks to a nice local couple that donated tickets they won to me who are PGR Partners.


9.) 6-5-7-1


10.) 5-3-10-9 Off Turf 


11.) 8-11-10-2 Off Turf


Selections by the Snake.


Wednesday produced 3 winner's from Top Selections. Wednesday's theme was Forego in honor of a friend of mine and one of my former supervisor's (a top notch one by the way). He is biggest fan of the war horse Forego I know. Anybody who is not familiar with Forego should google the race horse and be sure to check out how much weight they used to make him carry in Handicap races. You might be amazed compared to today. Check out this link.     

In the 7th yesterday that friend of mine Tom C. was all over the Trifecta Box I selected and was very happy to cash that ticket. Thanks for following me Tom and also for the kind words. 1 Exacta , 1 Daily Double and 1 Super Box were also selected on Wednesday. 3 tops also ran second. Sanctify fought on for a hard earned second place finish on Wednesday for PGR. Mother nature rolled in to town last night offering up a deluge of rain that continued into this morning forcing the first race a Jumpers race to be canceled until Monday at 1pm. All other Turf races have been moved to the main track for Thursday.

Now for the Thursday Selections (8/21) by the Snake.


2.) 2-6-3

3.) 3-7-1-2

4.) 8-3-6 Off Turf

5.) 8-5-14-10 Off Turf

6.) 3-2-1-5

7.) 1-7-2-5

8.) 7-5-1-6 Off Turf

9.) 1-8-11-2 Off Turf  Dirt Value Play # 1 Neck of the Moon at 5-1. Trainer C. Brown legs up JOck. Castellano for this off the turfer race. Should sit a good trip in here and might get over looked a little in the wagering. Lets hope so as we want 7-2 or better off the May freshening.

10.) 1-7-10-9 Off Turf

Selections by the Snake.


Monday produced 3 Winner's from the Top Selections making 80 winners selected so far for the meet. Our value play in the 5th got the odds we wanted but not the ride. Johnny V. will not be adding this one to his video resume anytime soon. Jump race to start the card today so first Post is 12:25pm. Looked high and low for some value today and was hard pressed to come up with anything. Sometimes you just have to take what the races are kind enough to give up. l see numerous short priced winners today. Our friends at PGR have # 6 Sanctify going in the third race at 3-1. He moves up a notch in class today and adds blinkers after the very explosive win last out at Toga July 26 at 5-1. Adding blinkers off a win is kind of an odd change you don't see very often but I'm sure Trainer Mott knows what he's doing. Best of luck to all the Partners of Sanctify!


Now for the Wednesday Selections (8/20) by the Snake.


1.) 5-7-4-6 Jumpers


2.) 2-7-6-8


3.) 6-5-3-7 Turf


4.) 3-5-2-6


5.) 8-6-5-3


6.) 7-4-3-2


7.) 8-9-4-2 Turf


8.) 10-5-3-4 Turf


9.) 6-7-5-1 Turf


10.) 1-7-5-2


Selections by the Snake.


Sunday had some serious fireworks right in the 1st race. Our place selection scored at 17-1, coming in second was our show selection at 14-1, third was our top selection. Those clever enough to box the Trifecta were handsomely rewarded with $1354. Maybe you are not a Trifecta player, Exacta players who boxed the top 3 selections scored for over $400. Congrats go out to Mike Do.,Chris H., & Bettyann for being brave enough to play some longshots and yes they were rewarded. Double players who were smart enough to go 2 deep in the first 2 races were also rewarded with a Daily double of $166. Just 1 winner was selected on top Sunday at that was in the 7th race when our top won at 5-1, we turned that into 23-1 shot when our place selection did run second making the excata $49.60 Speaking of the 7th Ray Sr. crushed it! On the day 5 place selections won,3 tops ran second, 2 place ran second, 2 exacta boxes were selected along with 1 super Box. Neither of the 2 value plays had right the odds for us so money should have been saved. 1st race today is a Jump Race at 12:25, this race was canceled last week and brought back today.

Now for the Monday Selections (8/18) by the Snake.


1.) 1-2-5-8 Hurdles


2.) 6-3-7-5


3.) 2-6-3-1 Turf


4.) 1-2-4-7


5.) 5-4-9-11 Turf Value Play # 5 Double Whammy at 5-1. Actually been waiting for this runner for sometime as he has not been seen since January. Drops in class for Trainer Pletcher off the layoff, claim sign is out and could very well be claimed and living in a new barn after this race. The connections know this so they should be on go for today. We get regular Pletcher rider J. Velasquez. Other big name trainer's have runner's also dropping in class for this and hopefully this will help spread the wagering in where most times Pletcher is over bet. Looking for 4-1 or better for this play, watch the board. 


6.) 5-6-3-10 Turf


7.) 7-3-2-5


8.) 10-1-9-7 Turf


9.) 2-5-1-6


10.) 4-2-5-6 Turf


Selections by the Snake.


Saturday was quite the day at the races. 4 top selections got the money, in the process we swept the last 3 races of the day producing 2 Daily Doubles, the best being $48. the late Pick3 at $163. Highest win price of the day came in the finale for us at $21.40  Earlier in the card we had given out a Turf Value Play bomber in the 4th race that went off 26-1, he finished a respectable second but was disqualified to third for a bumping incident in the stretch, still the value was there as he keyed a Trifecta that paid $1682. and Superfecta that paid $8926. HELLO!  Word was out on our other value play of the day as he opened up at 6-5 off the M/L of 6-1, did drift up a little to 3-2 but way off the odds of 7-2 I suggested for the play. Money should have been saved there as the horse did lose. 2 tops also ran second. A few rain drops are in the area so stay tuned for changes if needed.


Now for the Sunday Selections (8/17) by the Snake.


1.) 9-1-7-5 Turf


2.) 4-2-3-5


3.) 7-3-5-6 Turf


4.) 1-4-3-5


5.) 7-3-2-8


6.) 2-7-5-1 Turf Value Play # 2 Vecino at 5-2. This one is a little tricky as the M/L is only 5-2. Normally M/L 5-2 shots will go down in odds come race time. I don't think this one will and I'm counting on it for the play. This horse does take a rise in class for this start off the win last time out but faces no killers in here. 4 consecutive raising Beyers Speed Figs. Biggest factor for taking this runner is he beat the track bias last out. So with all that said we want close to 3-1 for the play, watch the board.


7.) 4-2-8-7 Turf


8.) 6-1-10-9 Dirt Value Play # 6 Evening Show at 4-1. Second off the layoff for shipping trainer Klesaris, lures Jock. Rosario rt back. Lightly raced 5 year old has only 10 starts lifetime. Don't think they are here for the water. Blinkers come off for this, all systems on go, love to get 4-1 or better.


9.) 6-1-2-5


10.) 5-4-3-7 Turf


11.) 10-2-9-1 Turf


Selections by the Snake.


Saturday Selections (8/16) - early edition before scratches - by the Snake.


1.) 2-1,1A-6-7


2.) 10-9-4-7 Turf


3.) 6-4-5 Turf


4.) 4-3-10-2 Turf Value Play # 4 Vision Perfect at 20-1. Debuts for Trainer Donk who is sneaky good on the weeds. Hungry young rider Franco gets the mount.Other big name Trainer's in here should take the bulk of the wagering which could juice up our value if we can get this runner in the number somewhere. Long string of consistent works point me here along with that M/L of 20-1. Bombs away!


5.) 1-5-4-7


6.) 8-7-6-4 Dirt Value Play # 8 Zennor at 6-1. Going with another first timer for value in here. Jock. JL Ortiz lands here for Trainer McLaughlin who has put 4 consecutive speedy works into this charge leading up to the race. Comes from deep pocket connections and could be any kind of runner. 6-1 could be a dream, lets hope for 7-2 or better.


7.) 1-9-8-6 Turf


8.) 4-5-10-2


9.) 14-2-3-5-10


10.) 8-1-9-6


11.) 7-4-9-1 Turf 


Selections by the Snake.


Thursday mother nature gave us a break with racing resuming on all surfaces. We started the day off with a bang catching the Exacta Box with the jumpers at $34.80 Winning Top Selections started in the second which was our Dirt Value play plus the Exacta and by the end of the day we had a total of 5 Winner's on top. 2 tops also ran second with one heart breaker in the 8th when we were nipped at 9-2. It wasn't a heart breaker for one follower who sent me this note."Snake! Fantastic day! Your pick in the 8th #2 with mine #7! $5 EXB = Yahtzee. Thanks for sending your picks. glad Kathy H. gave you my email. Love your picks and commentary as always! Thanks  Dominick M." Email is not the only way you can get my Selections, all you have to do is go to our friends at Parting Glass Racing web site and click on the box that says "read our newsletter" That should take you right to Snakes Handicapping Corner. Don't forget to check out the other stuff on their site. Speaking of PGR they have one going in todays 10th race at Toga, # 5 Echluath at 20-1. We swept races 5,6,& 7 on Thursday producing 2 Doubles and a Pick3. Lets see if we can keep the mojo going on Friday after the 5 Bagger on Thursday.


Now for the Friday Selections (8/15) by the Snake.


1.) 4-6-1-3 Turf


2.) 4-2-1-5


3.) 1-8-3-5 Turf


4.) 4-2-3-5


5.) 7-3-2-8 Turf Value Play # 7 Vischer Ferry at 5-1. Turns back from 1 1/16 for a Turf sprint of 5 1/2 for this. Speed Jock. Solis is aboard for the ride and is a front end specialist. If we can get the front early it will be a down the road speed show hopefully. Third start off the layoff for this and raced against the track bias last time, if Turf is speed favoring today all the better for us. 4-1 for us.


6.) 7-2-1,1A-5


7.) 8-10-1-6 Turf


8.) 3-5-2-4 Turf


9.) 3-6-5-1 Dirt Value Play # 3 Weekend Hideaway at 6-1.A slight jump up in effort puts this runner right in the mix, looks razor sharp right now for Trainer Serpe and Jock. Lezcano. Should sit a stalking trip and pounce when it counts. Money showed last time and rolled at 3-2, we will get bigger odds today with the slight rise in class. 5-1 watch the board.


10.) 9-7-8-5 Turf


Selections by the Snake.


Wednesday was a muddy mess after all that rain and no Turf racing was held. 2 Winner's from top Selections, the most interesting was the third race winner. Remember my report from Aug.8 where when being led to the gate a entry decided to jump the fence scattering back stretch patrons. Well she was entered back yesterday and we selected her to get the job done. Maybe it was an omen when the first race was canceled so she couldn't see the jumpers going up and over the hurdles pre her race so a repeat of the last fiasco was less apt to happen. She broke from the gate right to the front and did not look back easily winning at a generous $10.40 Thanks Desert Valentine! 2 tops also ran second & 2 place selections won. 1 Exacta Box & 1 Super Box were selected. Both value plays from Wednesday simply stunk. Racing for Thursday is back on the Turf as of right now.


Now for the Thursday Selections (8/14) by the Snake.


1.) 8-4-6-1A Hurdles


2.) 1,1A-4-2-3 Dirt Value Play # 1 & 1A the entry of  Flapper Girl & Sky Crew at 3-1. I hesitate to give out an entry as value but I keep coming back to these horses. Flapper Girl is a first timer to the races and has 4 workouts that jump out at me, back in June a bullet out of 16 & then a 3/50 at 4 panels, 2 good July works also say ready to me. We also get Sky Crew second time out from a 9 month layoff, drops in class for first time for this and could be much tighter now. We do want that 3-1 or better.


3.) 7-3-6-1 Turf


4.) 3-5-1,1A-6 


5.) 9-8-3-10


6.) 4-3-7


7.) 4-6-2-7 Turf


8.) 2-6-1-5


9.) 5-2-8-6 Turf Value Play # 6 A Prettydixie at 15-1. Favorite in here looks very tough to beat. Our horse could spice things up at big odds. Seldom takes much wagering and for sure will be over looked today. Could be rounding toward a peak and a slight jump up in effort puts her in the number at hopefully closer to 25-1 than the M/L of 15-1. Use her underneath to the big favorite.


10.) 6-8-3-1


Selections by the Snake.


Monday produced 2 Winner's from top selections with the fourth race running 1,2,3. Hitting the Exacta and Trifecta. Another nice comment came in on Monday, this time from Chris H."Making some bets with Raymond Purdy's picks today. He's been on FIRE lately!" Thanks Chris. The day really belonged to my friend Cocky who scored on back to back days. Using my place selection in the 5th who won and a bomber of his own in the 7th he turned $27. into $2700. SCORE! Then he and my dad scored in the finale where my selections produced the Superfecta Box. 1 other Super Box was selected in the third race. Mother nature has made a wet appearance so the 1st. race, the Hurdle Race has been canceled. Only Turf race still on as of right now is the 9th, all others are off. Stay tuned for updates today


Now for the Wednesday Selections (8/13) by the Snake.


1.) Canceled Jump Race


2.) 5-6-2-4


3.) 7-2-3-6


4.) 6-4-2-10 Off Turf, Dirt Value Play # 6 Revealing Moment at 8-1. Claimed last out off the win but only takes a slight rise in class for this. Looks to be razor sharp right now and love that they leave her in after race being taken off the turf. Jock. W. Garcia is riding a goose egg for wins at the meet and lets hope than changes today. After scratches I don't think 8-1 is a reality so we will adjust but still need 5-2 or better, watch the board.


5.) 9-5-3-1


6.) 12-13-14-1 Off Turf


7.) 4-2-5-1


8.) 14-9-2 Off Turf, Dirt Value Play #14 Wisdom of Oz at 4-1. Entered for Main Track Only and could sneak in there for some value. Numbers look a little light which should help our price. Trainer and Jock not well known so this should also help the odds. Love the grandmother (Pentelicus) of this horse which is why I land here. Field looks very weak. Scratched down to a field of 6 so again the odds will be lower, 5-2 or better for us


9.) 2-6-7-1 Turf    If Race goes to Dirt 5-7


10.) 3-4-9-8


Selections by the Snake.


Sunday was a little frustrating at times but we got out in the finale with a $15. winner on top. Ray Sr. once again was on the Exacta which paid over $180. Over all 2 tops won. The 6th race had all the magic going for it as they finished like the report had them drawn up(3-6-9). This race was all Kurt and his friend who just happened to drop in for a race or two and their timing could not have been better as they hit the Exacta. Here is a quote from Kurt from a nice note he sent me.
"I think my friend thinks I have an over sized ATM across the street.  We toasted you at dinner on Broadway!"
4 tops also ran second on Sunday with the high light being the 7th where my friend "Cocky" invested $30. Using my top and two of his own in a Trifecta Box scoring for over $2,200. HELLO!  3 place selections also won. 1 Exacta, Triple, Super Box, and 2 Exacta Boxes were also selected.  Big congrats to a gentlemen from the Glens Falls area who was reported to have cashed out Sunday for over 100K taking down the Pick6 and late PIck4 among other wagers, well done! Lets get some winner's today before that damp weather rolls into town later in the week.

Now for the Monday Selections (8/11) by the Snake.

1.) 4-1-7-2

2.) 2-1-6-8 Turf

3.) 1-5-6-3

4.) 9-1-7-11 Turf

5.) 1-7-2-4 Dirt Value Play # 1 Seeker at 5-1. Claimed last start back in June for 16K and entered right back for the 16K. Speaking of that last start, he was against the bias that day and might get over looked in here somewhat as others appear that they will take the bulk of the wagering. 4-1 or better.

6.) 6-5-3-1

7.) 8-3-4-2 Turf

8.) 3-2-10-9 Turf

9.) 3-6-7-5 Turf Value Play # 3 bolt From the Blue at 6-1. Lets see if we can end the day like Sunday. This one drops down from those Maiden Special Weights to Maiden Claimers for Trainer Bush. Lightly raced 4 yearold could be ready to pop after facing better back in June when racing against the track bias. Hungry Jock. Rocco has the mount and price should be a square one. 4-1 or better he's ours.

Saturday produced just 1 winner from the top selections. There was still money to be made as 3 exacta boxes were selected, the best paying $54. Both value plays ran second one of which was 9-1 and was bested by a 3-2 shot, speaking of that Saturday 6th race Trent was all over it. 3 tops also ran second along with 4 place selections running second. 3 place selections also won. Hopefully Sunday will produce some more exactas like the ones Todd and his all female posse were able to cash last Sunday. This report is going out before scratches so adjust accordingly.

Now for the Sunday (8/11) Selections by the Snake.

1.) 6-7-3-5

2.) 5-10-7-1 Turf

3.) 5-1-3-6

4.) 3-7-8-2 Turf

5.) 4-7-5-8 Turf

6.) 3-6-9-8 Turf

7.) 2-9-6-3

8.) 12-7-1-8 Turf Value Play # 12 Part at 6-1. This one drops a slight notch for Trainer Tagg who is dangerous when dropping. Has been known to take his time winding up his charges and this one looks like he's been tightening the screws for this. Should come running late and should be a square price in here.  We want the 6-1 or better for the play, watch the board.

9.) 3-5-6-1

10.) 3-1-6-10

11.) 11-1-2-6-3

Selections by the Snake.

Here are the Friday Selections (8/8) by the Snake:

1.) 7-2-5-6

2.) 5-4-1A-7 Turf

3.) 6-1,1A-2

4.) 8-7-1-9 Turf

5.) 2-5-8-6 Turf Value Play # 2 Chasing Paradise at 5-1. Ran huge last time out from 10 post racing wide most of trip. Biggest factor for me though is that she raced against track bias last out which I love. Jock. J. Alvarado sticks for Trainer Kingsley. 4 Consecutive rising Beyers, 1 more step forward puts her in the winners circle. The favorite # 5 looks like it might get over bet for popular connections. Can we get the 5-1? Doubtful. Lets hope for 4-1 or better.

6.) 2-1-6 Dirt Value Play # 2 Lieutenant Seany O at 3-1. Drops in class for cold Trainer Jacobson. Stretches out in distance for this but I don't think that will be a factor for Jock C. Velasquez. Don't usually lean toward him for plays but I think this one has to be looked at very seriously. # 5  & # 7 have scratched so 3-1 is a dream on our horse. 2-1 might even be a dream now.

7.) 4-5-8-9 Turf

8.) 3-8-10-4 Turf

9.) 7-6-1-5 Turf

10.) 6-2-7-9

Selections by the Snake.

Here are the Saturday Selections (8/9):

1.) 4-7-5-6 Dirt Value Play # 4 Wraith at 4-1. Wheels right back after a big effort here at Toga on July 21st. Was bet that day down to 5-2 so our 4-1 could be out of reach but I can't help but lean this direction as 2 others look to take money, hopefully giving us a little value. The 2 that look to take money are both moving up in class facing winner's for the first time, toughest raise in class in racing.  3-1 she's all ours.

2.) 7-6-8-5

3.) 3-5-7-9 Turf

4.) 8-2-3-6

5.) 4-8-1,1A-5

6.) 9-7-8-10 Turf Value Play # 9 King of New York(lets hope so) at 12-1. This horse will get totally over looked in here and could be closer to 30-1. Trainer is very sneaky and can put one over once awhile. Steady works for this after being purchased in March for 30 times the sire fee of $10,000. Jockey Prado is starving for a win at this meet and anywhere in the number for us gets us paid. Bombs away!

7.) 7-4-3-5

8.) 10-6-1-2 Turf

9.) 6-10-12-2 Turf

10.) 1-3-2-5 Turf

11.) 7-6-5-3 Turf

Selections by the Snake.


Now for the Friday Selections (8/1) by the Snake.

1.) 8-1-4-6 Dirt Value Play # 8 Royal Posse at 5-1. Takes biggest drop in racing from Maiden Special Weights to Maiden Claimer's. Our man Jockey Jose Ortiz gets a leg up from Trainer Contessa. Raced against track bias last out. Should get over looked s

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